Research
My research is in applied mathematics, mainly motivated by questions in evolutionary biology and ecology. I study the dynamics of structured populations using partial differential equations, kinetic models and stochastic processes.
Topics I am particularly interested in include selection and adaptation, sexual reproduction, spatial population dynamics, and the long-time behaviour of mathematical models. I also work on stochastic models of interacting populations and branching networks.
Research code
Interactive simulator — Explore the asexual and sexual population models studied in Alfaro, Raoul & Ronce (2026), When do leading and rear edges of the range shift slower or faster than climate? (see Selected publications below). Source code on GitHub.
Selected publications
- Growing random planar network with oriented branching and fusion. Preprint (2026). [PDF]
- A model for a population of trees structured by phenological traits. Mathematical Biosciences 395, 109640 (2026). [PDF]
- When do leading and rear edges of the range shift slower or faster than climate? Insights from a mathematical model. Journal of Evolutionary Biology (accepted). [PDF]
- Exponential convergence to a steady-state for a population genetics model with sexual reproduction and selection. Kinetic and Related Models (accepted). [PDF]
- Macroscopic limit from a structured population model to the Kirkpatrick–Barton model. Bulletin des Sciences Mathématiques 205, 103697 (2025). [PDF]
- Dynamics of a kinetic model describing protein exchanges in a cell population. Journal of Mathematical Biology 91, article 76 (2025). [PDF]
- Evolution and spread of multiadapted pathogens in a spatially heterogeneous environment. Evolution Letters 8(3), 427–436 (2024). [PDF]
- The effect of climate shift on a species submitted to dispersion, evolution, growth and nonlocal competition. SIAM Journal on Mathematical Analysis 49(1), 562–596 (2017). [PDF]
- Pollen dispersal slows geographical range shift and accelerates ecological niche shift under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 113(39), E5741–E5748 (2016). [PDF]
- Dynamics of sexual populations structured by a space variable and a phenotypical trait. Theoretical Population Biology 84, 87–103 (2013). [PDF]
Teaching
- École polytechnique (since 2017): part time teaching position, lecturing in analysis, PDEs, and the master's course Partial differential models for ecology.
- Ho Chi Minh University of Science (since 2022): Theoretical PDEs withinh the Franco-Vietnamese master's programme.
- Université de Guyane (2023 and 2026): short course Systèmes dynamiques.
- SEAMS summer school (2026): Wasserstein distances and convergence of stochastic processes.
PhD students
Current: Vianney de la Salle (since 2025, with V. Bansaye); Le Tuyet Nhi Pham (since 2023, with G. Conforti and A. Durmus).
Former: Sirine Boucenna (2021–2024, with V. Dakos); Julie Tourniaire (2018–2021, with P. Maillard); José Méndez (2015–2019, with N. Loeuille and F. Massol); Quentin Griette (2013–2017, with M. Alfaro and S. Gandon).
Contact
Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées (CMAP)
École polytechnique, 91128 Palaiseau, France
gael.raoul@polytechnique.edu