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Enhancing Profitability through Interpretability in Algorithmic Trading with a Multiobjective Evolutionary Fuzzy System

Adam Ghandar1, Zbigniew Michalewicz1,2,3, and Ralf Zurbruegg4

1School of Computer Science, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

2Institute of Computer Science, Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Ordona 21, 01-237, Warsaw, Poland

3Polish-Japanese Institute of Information Technology, ul. Koszykowa 86, 02-008, Warsaw, Poland

4Business School, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

Abstract. This paper examines the interaction of decision model complexity and utility in a computational intelligence system for algorithmic trading. An empirical analysis is undertaken which makes use of recent developments in multiobjective evolutionary fuzzy systems (MOEFS) to produce and evaluate a Pareto set of rulebases that balance conflicting criteria. This results in strong evidence that controlling portfolio risk and return in this and other similar methodologies by selecting for interpretability is feasible. Furthermore, while investigating these properties we contribute to a growing body of evidence that stochastic systems based on natural computing techniques can deliver results that outperform the market.

LNCS 7492, p. 42 ff.

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