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Aims and scope
- The steady increase in life expectancy in Europe and North America since the 1960s represents a high risk for pension funds and insurers but also an opportunity to develop a market for longevity. In aggregate, the market is short longevity. To create liquidity and attract investors, annuity transfers need to move from an insurance format to a capital markets format (securitization). There is a need to attract investors by paying a risk
premium against unexpected falls in mortality (mortality forwards falling below expected future mortality rates).
Longevity seems to meet the basic requirements of a successful market innovation.
From the point of view of capital markets, there are however some important questions to consider
before developing a market for longevity risk:
understanding the underlying risk and in particular its dynamics (stochastic mortality models),
understanding the needs and motivations of the agents who need hedging (pension funds, life insurers, ...),
creating/developing an index that minimizes basis risk, is transparent and reliable,
designing products that are efficient hedging instruments but also attractive for investors.
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